Calling off today

Update 9:14AM Wednesday, (Posted via Office from New Baden, IL):
Called off the chase. Too many factors going against today, both weather and non-weather related. I had some work items to take care of this morning that put me behind schedule, and I didn't think I would make it to the target in sufficient time. Forecast soundings had me worried about too much convection going up too early, putting the tornadoes farther west and south before upscale growth into an MCS ends that show by evening. I've been very busy this week and my sleep patterns are off - a chase today would result in a very long sleep-deprived marathon. The truck needs a front end alignment, and I didn't like the idea of a major trip before that was done.

I'll miss some tornadoes today due to this choice, but I'm OK with that. I'm not a tornadoes-at-all-costs chaser. The next round of setups aren't far off, and there could even be some lightning here over the next couple of days.

Update 4:35AM Wednesday, (Posted via Office from New Baden, IL):
Today's setup ended up being too hard too ignore. Departing STL here by 6AM, headed for Oklahoma City.

2010 Chase Expeditions - Probabilities as of May 19 May 19-21 0% May 22-26 50% May 27-31 45%